According to the latest update from the Saint Vincent and the Grenadines Meteorological Services, at 5:00 a.m. this morning, Monday, 19th June, the Tropical Disturbance was centered near latitude 8.4 North, longitude 54.5 West, with an associated 1005 mb low pressure.
The disturbance still has a high chance of becoming Tropical Storm Bret today, Monday, 19th June, before impacting Saint Vincent and the Grenadines this evening into Tuesday; and modest strengthening occurring overnight. The disturbance was about 400 miles southeast of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines moving toward the west, near 23 mph (37 km/h), and expected to cross over the islands this evening and Tuesday, 20th June.
Maximum sustained winds - near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts on the northern side of the system. Storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km), mainly northwest through northeast of the center.
Projections are for the center to pass about 180 miles south of mainland Saint Vincent. This means, that the Grenadines Islands can expect most of the impact of possible storm conditions.
Expected conditions across Saint Vincent and the Grenadines late Monday into Tuesday include:
- Deteriorating conditions with pockets of moderate to heavy showers, locally heavy rains, thunderstorms, occasional gusty winds by Monday evening.
- Rainfall accumulations decreased to 2 to 4 inches (50 to 100 mm).
- Strong East-North-East winds this afternoon increasing to 25 to 35 mph (40 to 55k m/h), with occasional higher gusts to tropical storm force expected.
- Seas Moderate (1.8 - 2.5 m) by this afternoon on the east coast; very rough to high, becoming 4.0 m- 5.0 m (13 - 16 ft.) across Saint Vincent and the Grenadines by tonight into early Tuesday, with easterly storm surge.
A high surf advisory and small craft warning is in effect and sea-bathers and boat operators should take all necessary precautions.
The National Emergency Council of NEMO will convene a meeting at 11:00 a.m. today, Monday, 19th June. NEMO is also urging all residents, especially residents in the Southern Grenadines to take all the necessary precautions.
The Saint Vincent and the Grenadines Meteorological Services and the Barbados Meteorological Services are monitoring the system.